Saturday, May 31, 2014

Next Round: Catching up with rye beers

Rye bread? I usually pass. But rye beer? Why not?

You're probably seeing beers with rye used in the brewing process more frequently these days at your favorite watering hole and beer retailer. But rye beers aren't new.

Back in 2002, Terrapin Beer Co., of Athens, Ga., won a Gold Medal for American Pale Ale with its Rye Pale Ale. Other breweries that dabble in rye include Firestone Walker Brewing Co. and its Wookey Jack Black IPA, Sierra Nevada (Ruthless Rye), Dogfish Head (Ryehoboth) and Samuel Adams (Revolutionary Rye Ale).

Brewers use rye as a way to add a new dimension to beer. Rye typically imparts a spicy flavor and injects other complexities. Here are some recent rye releases:

Boulevard Grainstorm Black Rye I.P.A. (750 ml. bottles and draft, boulevard.com). Kansas City, Mo.-based Boulevard Brewing Co. delivers a twist on a twist with this limited-edition brew. Black India Pale Ales, achieved with dark roasted malts, have been a style on the rise. Now brewers are tweaking black IPAs with a dose of rye.

Malted rye imparts a spicy crispness that makes Grainstorm eminently quaffable despite its 7.7% alcohol level. Its pleasantly bitter introduction is achieved with a blend of four types of hops (Amarillo, Bravo, Citra and Simcoe). Make sure to take a look at the label, an American folk artsy design that mashes up the beer's ingredients and the USA TODAY weather map.

Green Flash Road Warrior (12 oz. and 22 oz. bottles and draft, greenflashbrew.com). For a bit more bitterness and a bit more booze, try this seasonal Imperial IPA from San Diego's Green Flash Brewing Co.

Road Warrior pours like a reddish ale with an upfront piney aroma. Delicate and clean, the ale drinks like a beer much below its 9% ABV.

Green Flash created the beer as a tribute to its road-tested sales team, and as an alternative to summer's lawnmower beers — as with the Grainstorm, rye adds to the refreshment factor.

The Bruery Smoking Wood (22 oz. bottles, www.bruery.com). This Los ! Angeles area brewery — it's in Placentia, Calif. — takes rye beer to another level by aging a rye porter in rye whiskey barrels.

The beer pours out dark as oil, topped with a small layer of milk chocolate foam. From the outset, Smoking Wood exudes a sweet, complex flavor — and make no mistake — a boozy kick. It clocks in at 10% ABV.

In addition to vanilla expressions, a woody smokiness is evident from beachwood- and cherrywood-smoked malt. If you've already tried lower-alcohol rye beers, like Stone Brewing Co.'s Spröcketbier, a rye Kolsch, this is a nice way to take your rye research to the next level.

Next Round takes a regular look at new and recently released craft beers. If there's one on your radar, or if you have suggestions or questions, contact Mike Snider via e-mail. And follow Snider on Twitter: @MikeSnider.

Friday, May 30, 2014

Hot Consumer Stocks To Invest In 2015

Hot Consumer Stocks To Invest In 2015: Hillshire Brands Co (HSH)

The Hillshire Brands Company, incorporated on September 4, 1941, is a manufacturer and marketer of food products. The Companys portfolio includes brands, such as Jimmy Dean, Ball Park, Hillshire Farm, State Fair, Sara Lee frozen bakery and Chef Pierre pies, as well as artisanal brands Aidells and Gallo Salame. The Company operates in two segments: Retail and Foodservice/Other. Retail sells a variety of packaged meat and frozen bakery products to retail customers in North America. Foodservice/other sells a variety of meat and bakery products to foodservice customers in North America. On February 4, 2013, the Company completed the sale of its Australian bakery business.

Retail

Products in the retail segments include hot dogs and corn dogs, breakfast sausages, breakfast convenience items, including breakfast sandwiches and bowls, dinner sausages, deli and luncheon meats and cooked hams, as well as frozen pies, cakes, cheesecakes and other desserts . The Companys brands include Jimmy Dean, Ball Park, Hillshire Farm, State Fair and Sara Lee, as well as artisanal brands Aidells and Gallo Salame. The sales of the Retail business are generated in the United States Sales are made in the retail channel to supermarkets, warehouse clubs and national chains. Retails business accounted for 74% of the Companys sales during the fiscal year ended June 29, 2013 (fiscal 2013).

Foodservice/Other

Products in the foodservice/other segment include hot dogs and corn dogs, breakfast sausages and sandwiches, dinner sausages, deli and luncheon meats, ham, beef and turkey, as well as a variety of bakery products, including pastries, muffins, frozen pies, cakes and cheesecakes. Sales are made in the foodservice channel to distributors, restaurants, hospitals and other large institutions. Foodservice/Others business accounted for 26% of the Companys sales in fiscal 2013.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Reuters]

    Toby Talbot/AP NEW YORK -- A voluntary effort by the world's largest food and beverage companies to remove billions of calories from the products they sell in the United States to help combat the nation's obesity epidemic has far exceeded its five-year goal, according to an independent evaluation released Thursday. In May 2010, 16 of the nation's biggest food and beverage companies, from Coca-Cola (KO) to Kraft Foods Group (KRFT), pledged to remove 1 trillion calories from the U.S. marketplace by 2012 and 1.5 trillion by 2015, compared with a 2007 baseline. In fact, as of 2012 they sold 6.4 trillion fewer calories, found an analysis by researchers at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. "Reports like this, and the fact that they exceeded their commitment by fourfold, really shows that you can make progress in giving American families more healthy options," said Larry Soler, president of the Partnership for a Healthier America, a non-profit chaired by first lady Michelle Obama. The group was formed in 2010 to work with the private sector on anti-obesity strategies. At the time, critics said the Partnership relied too heavily on the good will of the industry and couldn't replace the role of tighter regulation on how food is manufactured and marketed. Such voluntary efforts by industry "are not a magic bullet," said Jeff Levi, executive director of Trust for America's Health, a non-profit policy group. "Particularly with kids, there is a role for regulation" in reducing demand for unhealthy, high-calorie fare. It isn't clear yet how the companies accomplished the dramatic calorie reduction, said UNC public health researcher Barry Popkin, who led the analysis funded by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, the nation's largest public health philanthropy. Some of the decline may have come from the recession, as financially strapped families cut back on junk food. When the pledge was announced, companies said they would substitute lower-calorie pro

  • source fr! om Top Penny Stocks For 2015:http://www.seekpennystocks.com/hot-consumer-stocks-to-invest-in-2015.html

Thursday, May 29, 2014

Top 5 Supermarket Stocks To Buy For 2015

Top 5 Supermarket Stocks To Buy For 2015: Icahn Enterprises L.P. (IEP)

Icahn Enterprises L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in investment, automotive, gaming, railcar, food packaging, metals, real estate, and home fashion businesses in the United States and internationally. Its Investment segment provides investment advisory, and administrative and back office services to the investment funds. The companys Automotive segment offers powertrain energy, powertrain sealing and bearings, vehicle safety and protection, and aftermarket products for original equipment manufacturers. Icahn Enterprises L.P.s Gaming segment owns and operates casino gaming properties. It has 9 casino facilities with 7,485 slot machines, 226 table games and 6,048 hotel rooms in Nevada, Mississippi, Indiana, Louisiana, New Jersey, and Aruba. The companys Railcar segment designs, manufactures, sells, and leases hopper and tank railcars; custom designed railcar parts and other industrial products, primarily aluminum and special alloy steel castings; and provides r epair and maintenance services for railcar fleets. Icahn Enterprises L.P.s Food Packaging segment produces and sells cellulosic, fibrous, and plastic casings for the processed meat and poultry industry. The companys Metals segment collects, processes, and sells ferrous and non-ferrous metals, as well as processes and distributes steel pipe and plate products. Icahn Enterprises L.P.s Real Estate segment engages in the rental of retail, office, and industrial properties; construction and sale of single-family and multi-family homes, lots in subdivisions and planned communities, and raw land for residential development; and golf and resort activities. The companys Home Fashion segment manufactures, sources, distributes, markets, and sells home fashion consumer products, including bed, bath, basic bedding, and kitchen textile products. Icahn Enterprises G.P. Inc. serves as the general partner of the company. Icahn Enterprises L.P. was founded in 1987 and is head! quartere d in New York, New York.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Robert Rapier]

    Carl Icahn’s majority-owned investment vehicle, Icahn Enterprises (NYSE: IEP), had already racked up a 37 percent return since Sept. 9 as of 10 days ago, when we recommended that subscribers along for the ride sell half of their position. The other half is now up more than 40 percent following today’s 6.5 percent jump in response to earnings that proved better than expected.

  • [By Robert Rapier and Igor Greenwald]

    Some MLPs have experienced huge capital appreciation. Three–Icahn Enterprises (Nasdaq: IEP), Hi-Crush Partners (NYSE: HCLP), and The Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX)–gained over 100 percent in 2013. A fourth, American Midstream Partners (NYSE: AMID) gained 96 percent for the year.

  • source from Top Penny Stocks For 2015:http://www.seekpennystocks.com/top-5-supermarket-stocks-to-buy-for-2015.html

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

Top Building Product Stocks For 2015

Top Building Product Stocks For 2015: Source Capital Inc.(SOR)

Source Capital, Inc. is a close-ended equity fund launched and managed by First Pacific Advisors, LLC. The fund invests in the public equity markets of the United States. It makes its investments in the stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the Russell 2500 Index, the S&P 500 Index, and the Nasdaq Index. Source Capital, Inc. was formed in 1968 and is domiciled in the United States.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Rich Duprey]

    Closed-end investment companySource Capital (NYSE: SOR  ) announcedtodayits third-quarter dividend of $0.75 per share, the same rate it's paid for the past two quarters.

  • source from Top Penny Stocks For 2015:http://www.seekpennystocks.com/top-building-product-stocks-for-2015.html

Tuesday, May 27, 2014

Pilgrim Pride Corp Offers to Acquire Hillshire Brands Co (HSH)

Pilgrim’s Pride Corp. (PPC) announced on Tuesday morning said that it has made an offer to acquire Hillshire Brands Co. (HSH) for $6.4 billion.

Pilgrim’s Pride has offered Hillshire a total of $45 per share in cash, or $6.4 billion. This deal is expected to close during the third quarter. This report comes just two weeks after HSH agreed to acquire Pinnacle Foods Inc (PF).

Top 5 Financial Companies To Buy For 2015

Bill Lovette, Pilgrim’s CEO commented: “For Hillshire shareholders, our proposal provides a substantial premium, greater certainty and immediate cash value for their shares. We have long respected the Hillshire business and we are confident that Hillshire's board and shareholders will find our all-cash premium proposal to be superior to the pending acquisition of Pinnacle.”

HSH Dividend Snapshot

As market close on May 23, 2014

HSH dividend yield annual payout payout ratio dividend growth

Click here to see the complete history of HSH dividends.

Hillshire Brands shares were up $8.21, or 22.20% during pre-market trading Tuesday. The stock is up 10.71% YTD.

Market Valuations and Expected Returns – Sept. 4, 2013

In the first eight months of 2013, the stock market benchmark S&P 500 gained 2.44% in January, 0.10% in February, 3.36% in March, 2.27% in April, 3.04% in May, -0.97% in June, 5.69% in July and -3.93% in August. Since 2013, the year-to-date return for the S&P 500 is 12.13%. The market reached its historical high on Aug. 2, 2013, and then started declining. So far this is the biggest loss for one month in 2013.

Investors remained cautious over a possible attack on Syria. The prospect of the Federal Reserve scaling back its $85 billion bond purchase program as soon as September hit the market. However, the economic data is stronger. The second-quarter GDP grew at 2.5% annualized pace, which is higher than what economist were expecting. The decline in jobless claims can also be seen as a good economic sign.

As investors are happier with the higher balances in their account, they should never forget the word "RISK", which is directly linked to the valuations of the asset they own. A higher current valuation always implies a lower future returns.

GuruFocus hosts three pages about market valuations. The first is the market valuation based on the ratio of total market cap over GDP; the second is the measurement of the U.S. market valuation based on the Shiller P/E. These pages are for US market. We have also created a new page for international markets. You can check it out here. All pages are updated at least daily. Monthly data is displayed for international market.

Why is this important?

As pointed out by Warren Buffett, the percentage of total market cap (TMC) relative to the U.S. GNP is "probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment."

Knowing the overall market valuation and the expected market returns will give investors a clearer head on where we stand for future market returns. When the overall market is expensive and po! sitioned for poor returns, the overall market risk is high. It is important for investors to be aware of this and take consideration of this in their asset allocation and investing strategies.

Please keep in mind that the long-term valuations published here do not predict short-term market movement. But they have done a good job predicting the long-term market returns and risks.

Wise man Howard Marks also pointed out that investors should always know where we are with the market. Predicting the direction of the market is hard. But investors can always make educated decisions based on current conditions.

Howard Marks says, "Most assets are neither dangerously elevated (with the possible exception of long-term Treasury bonds and high grades) nor compellingly cheap. It's easier to know what to do at the extremes than it is in the middle ground, where I believe we are today," according to his latest memo.

Why did we develop these pages?

We developed these pages because of the lessons we learned over years of value investing. From the market crashes in 2001 to 2002 and 2008 to 2009, we learned that value investors should also keep an eye on overall market valuation. Many times value investors tend to find cheaper stocks in any market. But a lot of times the stocks they found are just cheaper, instead of cheap. Keeping an eye on the overall market valuation will help us to focus on absolute value instead of relative value.

The indicators we develop focus on the long term. They will provide a more objective view on the market.

Ratio of Total Market Cap over GDP - Market Valuation and Implied Returns

The information about the market valuation and the implied return based on the ratio of the total market cap over GDP is updated daily. The total market cap as measured by Wilshire 5000 index is now 108.4% of the US GDP. The stock market is likely to return about 2.6% a year in the coming years. As a comparison, at the beginning of 2013, the ratio of total mark! et cap ov! er GDP was 97.5%. It was likely to return 4% a year from that level of valuation. The 10.9% gain since the beginning of 2013 has reduced the future gains by about 1.4% a year.

For details, please go to the daily updated page. In general, the returns of investing in an individual stock or in the entire stock market are determined by these three factors:

1. Business growth

If we look at a particular business, the value of the business is determined by how much money it can make. The growth in the value of the business comes from the growth of the earnings of the business growth. This growth in the business value is reflected as the price appreciation of the company stock if the market recognizes the value, which it does, eventually.

If we look at the overall economy, the growth in the value of the entire stock market comes from the growth of corporate earnings. As we discussed above, over the long term, corporate earnings grow as fast as the economy itself.

2. Dividends

Dividends are an important portion of the investment return. Dividends come from the cash earning of a business. Everything equal, a higher dividend payout ratio, in principle, should result in a lower growth rate. Therefore, if a company pays out dividends while still growing earnings, the dividend is an additional return for the shareholders besides the appreciation of the business value.

3. Change in the market valuation

Although the value of a business does not change overnight, its stock price often does. The market valuation is usually measured by the well-known ratios such as P/E, P/S, P/B, etc. These ratios can be applied to individual businesses, as well as the overall market. The ratio Warren Buffett uses for market valuation, TMC/GNP, is equivalent to the P/S ratio of the economy.

Putting all the three factors together, the return of an investment can be estimated by the following formula:

Investment Return (%) = Dividend Yield (%)+ Business Growth (%)+ Change o! f Valuati! on (%)

From the contributions we can get the predicted return of the market.

The Predicted and the Actual Stock Market Returns

This model has done a decent job in predicting the future market returns. You can see the predicted return and the actual return in the chart below.

[ Enlarge Image ]

The prediction from this approach is never an exact number. The return can be as high as 10% a year or as low as -6% a year, depending where the future market valuation will be. In general, investors need to be cautious when the expected return is low.

Shiller P/E - Market Valuation and Implied Returns

The GuruFocus Shiller P/E page indicates that the Shiller P/E is 23.1. This is 40% higher than the historical mean of 16.5. Implied future annual return is 2.2%. As a comparison, the regular trailing 12-month P/E is 19, higher than the historical mean of 15.8. That is also why the media pundits are saying that the market is cheap.

Twelve months ago, the Shiller P/E was 21.8, and regular trailing 12-month P/E was around 15. The market did look cheap with the trailing 12-month P/E.

The Shiller P/E chart is shown below:


Over the last decade, the Shiller P/E indicated that the best time to buy stocks was March 2009. However, the regular P/E was at its highest level ever. The Shiller P/E, similar to the ratio of the total market cap over GDP, has proven to be a better indication of market valuations.

Overall, the current market valuation is more expensive than the the majority of the last 130 years. It is cheaper than most of the time over the last 15 years.

To understand more, please go to GuruFocus' Shiller P/E page.

John Hussman's Peak P/E:

John Hussman uses the peak P/E ratio to smooth out the distortion of the corporate profits caused by the fluctuations of the profit margins. The current market return projected by his model is around 2.8% a year.

In! his comm! entary on Aug. 12, 2013, Extreme Brevity of the Financial Memory, he estimates that the prospective 10-year S&P 500 nominal total return is about 2.8% annually. He believes that investors could be looking at a higher S&P 500 and even worse prospective long-term returns a year from now. "As unpleasant as these numbers may be, S&P 500 revenues are presently at 1105, and Shiller earnings are presently about 69. On the basis of historical norms, deviations from which are highly related to subsequent market returns, a level of about 960 on the S&P 500 – nearly 45% below present levels – would be associated with historically average total returns. By contrast, the present level of about 1700 is associated with expected 10-year total returns for the S&P 500 that are among the lowest in history. Given a 2.6% 10-year Treasury bond yield, investors may be comfortable accepting weak prospective long-term returns for the S&P 500 – we estimate about 2.8% annually over the coming decade. From our perspective, the expected "equity risk premium" here is non-existent, and the intervening downside risks are extraordinary."

[ Enlarge Image ]

This agrees with the returns projected by the ratio of total market cap over GDP and Shiller P/E.

In all of the three approaches discussed above, the fluctuations of profit margin are eliminated by using GDP, the average of trailing 10-year inflation-adjusted earnings and peak-P/E, revenue or book value, etc. Therefore they arrive at similar conclusions: The market is overvalued, and it is likely to return only 2.2% to 2.8% a year in future years.

Jeremy Grantham's 7-Year Projection:

Jeremy Grantham's firm GMO publishes a monthly 7-year market forecast. In Inker and James Montier's quarterly letter What the *&%! Just Happened? and The Purgatory of Low Returns, it noted that today's opportunity set is characterized by almost everything being expensive. James Mo! ntier bel! ieves this is a direct effect of the quantitative easing policies being pursued by the Federal Reserve and their ilk around the world. James Montier advises that investors should "be patient" at this point.

As of July 31, 2013, GMO's 7-year forecast is below:

[ Enlarge Image ]

GMO expected U.S. large cap real return to be -2.1%. This number does not agree with what we find out with market/GDP ratio and Shiller P/E ratio. The U.S. high quality's return is expected to be 3.1% a year.

Insider Trends

As indicated by the three different approaches discussed above, the best buying opportunities over the last five years appeared when the projected returns were at their highest level from October 2008 to April 2009, when investors could expect 10% a year from the U.S. market.

If average investors missed this opportunity, corporate insiders such as CEOs, CFOs and directors did not. As a whole they purchased their own company shares at more than double the normal rate from October 2008 to April 2009. Many of these purchases resulted in multi-bagger gains. This confirmed again the conclusions of earlier studies: The aggregated activities of insiders can serve as a good indicator for locating the market bottoms. Insiders as a whole are smart investors of their own companies. They tend to sell more when the market is high, and buy more when the market is low.

This is the current insider trend for S&P 500 companies:

[ Enlarge Image ]

The latest trends of insider buying are updated daily at GuruFocus' Insider Trend page. Data is updated hourly on this page. The insider trends of different sectors are also displayed in this page. The latest insider buying peak is at this page: September 2011, when the market was at recent lows.

Conclusion: The stock market is not cheap as measured by long term valuation ra! tios. It ! is positioned for about 2.2% to 2.8% of annual returns for the next decade. By watching the overall market valuations and the insider buying trends investors will have a better understanding of the risk and the opportunities. The best time to buy is when the market valuation is low, and insiders are enthusiastic about their own companies' stocks.

Investment Strategies at Different Market Levels

The Shiller P/E and the ratio of total market cap over GDP can serve as good guidance for investors in deciding their investment strategies at different market valuations. Historical market returns prove that when the market is fair or overvalued, it pays to be defensive. Companies with high quality business and a strong balance sheet will provide better returns in this environment. When the market is cheap, beaten-down companies with strong balance sheets can provide outsized returns.

To summarize:

1. When the market is fair valued or overvalued, buy high-quality companies such as those in the Buffett-Munger Screener.
2. When the market is undervalued, buy low-risk beaten-down companies like those in the Ben Graham Net-Net Screener. Buy a basket of them and be diversified.
3. If the market is way over valued, stay in cash. You may consider hedging or short.

Related links:The daily updated pageGuruFocus' Shiller P/E pageYou can check it out hereThe conclusions of earlier studiesGuruFocus' Insider Trend pageBuffett-Munger ScreenerBen Graham Net-Net Screener

Sunday, May 25, 2014

Recalled Beef May Have Been Sent to 10 States

Recalled beef may have been sent to 10 states Justin Sullivan/Getty Images DETROIT -- Federal food safety officials say ground beef recalled by a Detroit business may have been sent to stores in 10 states. According to an announcement Thursday, the U.S. agriculture department's Food Safety and Inspection Service says it has reason to believe recalled beef was sent to retail outlets in Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, North Dakota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee and Wisconsin. Wolverine Packing Co. announced Monday it was recalling 1.8 million pounds of ground beef products that may be contaminated with E. coli. FSIS had said 11 people were sickened. Messages seeking an updated figure were left Friday. Consumers can see a list of recalled products on the U.S. Department of Agriculture's website. Here is a state-by-state list of retail outlets that the U.S. Agriculture Department's Food Safety and Inspection Service says may have received ground beef involved in the recall:

Friday, May 23, 2014

Best Undervalued Stocks To Own For 2015

It feels like it wasn't all that long ago when Apache (NYSE:APA) was one of the most well-regarded energy companies in the game. Management had a knack for acquiring assets from larger companies at attractive prices and driving a surprising amount of productivity out of them. Along the way, the company developed a very broad portfolio that was well-balanced between oil/gas, individual basins, and near-term/long-term productivity.

SEE: Oil And Gas Industry Primer

Unfortunately, there's a blurry line ��iversified��and ��nfocused�� and Wall Street has come to the conclusion that Apache is too much of the latter these days. What's more, there are now substantial questions about the company's asset mix and its ability to generate good returns from those assets. Management is responding to these concerns with an asset sale program, and while Egypt is going to loom large in investors' minds for a while yet, I believe these shares are meaningfully undervalued today.

Best Undervalued Stocks To Own For 2015: Caterpillar Inc.(CAT)

Caterpillar Inc. manufactures and sells construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives worldwide. It operates through three lines of businesses: Machinery, Engines, and Financial Products. The Machinery business offers construction, mining, and forestry machinery, including track and wheel tractors, track and wheel loaders, pipelayers, motor graders, wheel tractor-scrapers, track and wheel excavators, backhoe loaders, log skidders, log loaders, off-highway trucks, articulated trucks, paving products, skid steer loaders, underground mining equipment, tunnel boring equipment, and related parts. It also manufactures diesel-electric locomotives; and manufactures and services rail-related products and logistics services for other companies. The Engines business provides diesel, heavy fuel, and natural gas reciprocating engines for Caterpillar machinery, electric power generation systems, marine, petrol eum, construction, industrial, agricultural, and other applications. It offers industrial turbines and turbine-related services for oil and gas, and power generation applications. This business also remanufactures Caterpillar engines, machines, and engine components; and offers remanufacturing services for other companies. The Financial Products business provides retail and wholesale financing alternatives for Caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, and other equipment and marine vessels, as well as offers loans and various forms of insurance to customers and dealers. It also offers financing for vehicles, power generation facilities, and marine vessels. The company markets its products directly, as well as through its distribution centers, dealers, and distributors. It was formerly known as Caterpillar Tractor Co. and changed its name to Caterpillar Inc. in 1986. Caterpillar Inc. was founded in 1925 and is headquartered in Peoria, Illinois.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Dan Carroll]

    Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT  ) shares are down about 1.4% today, and like Alcoa, this is one stock that will take a hit from economic problems across the Pacific. Growing infrastructure construction once made Caterpillar's future in China look rosy, but with China's economic slowing and the country's credit crunch making lending a costly proposition, manufacturing has taken a blow. Caterpillar's not in so bad a position as Alcoa due to its retention of the top space in such a cyclical industry, but China's rash of problems will exacerbate the manufacturing sector's sluggishness and lengthen the time it takes for Caterpillar and its rivals to bounce back.

Best Undervalued Stocks To Own For 2015: Dollar Tree Inc.(DLTR)

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety stores in the United States and Canada. Its stores offer merchandise primarily at the fixed price of $1.00. The company operates its stores under the names of Dollar Tree, Deal$, Dollar Tree Deal$, Dollar Giant, and Dollar Bills. Its stores offer consumable merchandise, including candy and food, and health and beauty care, as well as household consumables, such as paper, plastics, household chemicals, in select stores, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise, which includes toys, durable housewares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, and other items; and seasonal goods, such as Easter, Halloween, and Christmas merchandise. As of April 30, 2011, it operated 4,089 stores in 48 states and the District of Columbia, as well as 88 stores in Canada. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Lawrence Meyers]

    The finance sector, as mentioned, can make money in many ways. The second-highest growth sector is expected to be consumer discretionary, with a 6.2% increase. When you look at earnings from luxury brands like Tiffany & Co. (TIF), and that the hotel sector continues to do very well, it suggests that those people who are in good financial shape are spending their money. Meanwhile, dollar players like Dollar Tree (DLTR) continue to perform very well, suggesting that folks with less money are spending it on cheaper items.

  • [By Mani]

    Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) is one of the companies that are set to exploit the ongoing trend of consumers' increasing focus on value with significant opportunity to grow its store base, and expand margins.

  • [By Demitrios Kalogeropoulos]

    Costly market share gains
    The problem is that Family Dollar has had to pay up for its increasing market share and sales levels. The company's gross profit margin fell by more than a full percentage point, to 34.7% last quarter. In contrast, Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: DLTR  ) booked an expansion of profits, to 35.2%, continuing a trend that's seen it pull away from Family Dollar.

Hot Gas Companies To Invest In Right Now: Tupperware Corporation(TUP)

Tupperware Brands Corporation operates as a direct seller of various products across a range of brands and categories through an independent sales force. The company engages in the manufacture and sale of kitchen and home products, and beauty and personal care products. It offers preparation, storage, and serving solutions for the kitchen and home, as well as kitchen cookware and tools, children?s educational toys, microwave products, and gifts under the Tupperware brand name primarily in Europe, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and North America. The company provides beauty and personal care products, which include skin care products, cosmetics, bath and body care, toiletries, fragrances, nutritional products, apparel, and related products principally in Mexico, South Africa, the Philippines, Australia, and Uruguay. It offers beauty and personal care products under the Armand Dupree, Avroy Shlain, BeautiControl, Fuller, NaturCare, Nutrimetics, Nuvo, and Swissgar de brand names. The company sells its Tupperware products directly to distributors, directors, managers, and dealers; and beauty products primarily through consultants and directors. As of December 26, 2009, the Tupperware distribution system had approximately 1,800 distributors, 61,300 managers, and 1.3 million dealers; and the sales force representing the Beauty businesses approximately 1.1 million. The company was formerly known as Tupperware Corporation and changed its name to Tupperware Brands Corporation in December 2005. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Eric Volkman]

    Tupperware Brands (NYSE: TUP  ) is reaching into its corporate bowl for a fresh payout to shareholders. The company has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.62 per share. This will be paid on July 8 to stockholders of record as of June 19. That amount matches the firm's previous distribution, which was paid in early April. Prior to that, Tupperware Brands was rather less generous, handing out $0.36 per share.

Best Undervalued Stocks To Own For 2015: Schlumberger N.V.(SLB)

Schlumberger Limited, together with its subsidiaries, supplies technology, integrated project management, and information solutions to the oil and gas exploration and production industries worldwide. The company?s Oilfield Services segment provides exploration and production services; wireline technology that offers open-hole and cased-hole services; supplies engineering support, directional-drilling, measurement-while-drilling, and logging-while-drilling services; and testing services. This segment also offers well services; supplies well completion services and equipment; artificial lift; data and consulting services; geo services; and information solutions, such as consulting, software, information management system, and IT infrastructure services that support oil and gas industry. Its WesternGeco segment provides reservoir imaging, monitoring, and development services; and operates data processing centers and multiclient seismic library. This segment also offers variou s services include 3D and time-lapse (4D) seismic surveys to multi-component surveys for delineating prospects and reservoir management. The company?s M-I SWACO segment supplies drilling fluid systems to improve drilling performance; fluid systems and specialty tools to optimize wellbore productivity; production technology solutions to maximize production rates; and environmental solutions that manages waste volumes generated in drilling and production operations. Its Smith Oilfield segment designs, manufactures, and markets drill bits and borehole enlargement tools; and supplies drilling tools and services, tubular, completion services, and other related downhole solutions. The company?s Distribution segment markets pipes, valves, and fittings, as well as mill, safety, and other maintenance products. This segment also provides warehouse management, vendor integration, and inventory management services. Schlumberger Limited was founded in 1927 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By David Fabian]

    Schlumberger Ltd (NYSE: SLB) recently reported a record first quarter profit, as demand for its advanced energy exploration technology continues to grow.

Tuesday, May 20, 2014

7 Reasons to Believe in JCP Stock Again

Twitter Logo RSS Logo Will Ashworth Popular Posts: The Best Ways to Buy the Alibaba IPO5 Ways Apple Is Trying to Pump Value Into AAPL Stock5 Top Fidelity Mutual Funds to Own Recent Posts: 7 Reasons to Believe in JCP Stock Again Could Yahoo Become the Next Berkshire Hathaway? 5 Ways Apple Is Trying to Pump Value Into AAPL Stock View All Posts

Yahoo Finance's Jeff Macke appeared on Breakout on Thursday afternoon before the release of JCPenney earnings to suggest that Mike Ullman has bought the company a little extra time, but that's about it.

JCPenney185 7 Reasons to Believe in JCP Stock AgainIn his words, Mike Ullman is "trying to get JCP back to being a mediocre department store that's kind of dying very slowly instead of very fast." That can't be good for JCP stock.

However, the reports of JCPenney's (JCP) death have been greatly exaggerated.

JCP stock finished Friday up roughly 13% on very heavy trading after reporting anything but mediocre Q1 earnings. In the conference call, Ullman let investors know the first two phases of its turnaround plan were complete. It's now moving into the third phase, which involves returning JCPenney to long-term profitability.

Skeptics like Macke might see the glass more than half empty, but others such as myself see a business that's come a heck of a long way in just one year. It's important to remember just how badly bruised JCPenney was when Ullman took back the reigns on April 8, 2013. In the 17 months Ron Johnson ran the company, JCP stock went from a high of $43.18 in February 2012, four months after taking the top job, to a low of $14.10 just days before his dismissal when keeping the lights on at JCPenney was very much in question.

My editor asked me today if I thought JCP was going to stick around longer.

The short answer? Well, here are my exact words from my email reply:

"I do. Sears traffic will go to JCP and Roger Farah or whomever will ensure it lasts another 100 years. It’s not out of the woods by a long shot but vendors are not going to turn away JCPenney business at this point. It’s turning whether Jeff Macke wants to believe it. Bringing back the private label is really helping along with Sephora. Little steps will turn into big steps. That’s how you turnaround a company. You get staff believing again and you’re off to the races."

But just to make sure you understand why I feel this way, let’s take a look at the major points I covered for JCP earnings previews in both the fourth quarter and this quarter, and how they’ve shaped up. There are seven points overall, and each encourages continued faith in JCPenney:

Online Sales. JCPenney's online sales in Q1 2013 were $217 million, a 19.9% decrease year-over-year. This year it increased online sales by 25.7% to $273 million, or 9.7% of overall revenue. While it didn't quite hit my target of 10%, it's close enough. I expect it do push into double digits in Q2. Private Label. As Ullman stated in its conference call, it's almost back to where it used to be at 50% of revenue. St. John's Bay is back as if it never left and Liz Claiborne is getting the attention it deserves. With private label boosting gross margins by several hundred basis points, you can expect that to help JCP stock in the future. Liquidity. This is the one that Jeff Macke and company are most concerned about and so they should be. You can't run a company if you don't have enough cash to meet your obligations. This past year, liquidity never went below $1 billion and this year CFO Ed Record believes it won't go below $1.5 billion — evidence it's making progress. More importantly, suppliers continue to be supportive of its turnaround efforts, and that's key to maintaining liquidity. Gross Margins. I specifically stated in my Q4 JCP earnings preview, "As long as they can move above 30% in the next two to three quarters, JCP's survival is less in doubt." JCP delivered gross margins of 33.1% in Q1, 230 basis points better than a year earlier, and it expects to go even higher in Q2. Sears. Both Kohl's (KSS) and Macy's (M) experienced negative same-store sales growth in the first quarter. Sears (SHLD) doesn't report until May 22, but we can assume that its earnings going to be dismal as usual. JCP is taking back some of the market share it lost during the Ron Johnson debacle. It probably won't get all of it back, but it’ll be enough to turn a profit, and that's all investors need to push JCP stock even higher. Management Enthusiasm. Mike Ullman's first sentence out of his mouth in the conference call was how enthusiastic the entire management team is about the rest of the year. The turnaround will be complete by the end of the year, when it can get down to the business of selling goods. The entire company should be excited. It's not very often you bring the dead back to life. Succession. According to Ullman, there are no "major changes" on the horizon. So, either Mike Ullman is a really good poker player or he's in this past 2014. While I'd love to see Roger Farah as CEO and Ullman as executive chairman, I can live with Ullman as the top dog. After all, he was the one performing mouth-to-mouth on the patient this past year. He's earned the right to stick around and put JCP stock on even better footing. Bottom Line

On virtually every point I've written about over the past four months, JCPenney has provided a positive response.

It’s hard for me not to be optimistic about JCP stock going forward.

As of this writing, Will Ashworth did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.

Sunday, May 18, 2014

Stocks to Watch: J.C. Penney, Darden Restaurants, CFR Pharmaceuticals

Among the companies with shares expected to actively trade in Friday’s session are J.C. Penney Co.(JCP), Darden Restaurants Inc.(DRI) and CFR Pharmaceuticals(CFR.SN).

J.C. Penney Co. said its sales, excluding newly opened or closed stores, climbed 6.2% in the latest period, easily topping expectations and improving in each month of the quarter. The company also said it obtained a new credit line that expands its borrowing capacity.

Darden Restaurants Inc. agreed to sell its struggling Red Lobster chain to private-equity firm Golden Gate Capital for $2.1 billion in cash, despite long-running criticism of the move from several investors.

Abbott Laboratories ag(ABT)reed to buy CFR Pharmaceuticals for $2.9 billion, significantly expanding its presence in Latin America. CFR Pharmaceuticals, based in Santiago, Chile, participates in 15 Latin American markets and has more than 1,000 products

Chesapeake Energy Corp.(CHK) said Friday that it will proceed with a spinoff of its oil-field services operations to shareholders as it also plans other asset sales.

Nordstrom Inc.(JWN) said Thursday its fiscal first-quarter profit slipped 3.5%, but the high-end department-store operator’s earnings and sales still outpaced expectations. The company also said it will seek a financial partner for its Nordstrom credit card receivables, which totals approximately $2 billion.

Gentiva Health Services Inc.(GTIV) confirmed Thursday that its board has rejected Kindred Healthcare Inc.'s(KND) $533 million takeover bid, saying the proposal significantly undervalues the company.

World Wrestling Entertainment Inc.(WWE) reached a new long-term television deal with Comcast Corp.'s(CMCSA) NBCUniversal, ensuring that its wrestling stars will stay put on NBCU’s cable channels. The WWE agreed on a deal to keep its flagship show “Raw” on USA Network and its “SmackDown” Friday night show on Syfy.

Autodesk Inc.(ADSK) said its fiscal first-quarter earnings fell 49% as higher costs offset the design-software company’s revenue growth, though adjusted earnings and revenue beat expectations.

Applied Materials Inc.(AMAT) on Thursday reported a 19% jump in second-quarter sales, while swinging to a profit and posting its best operating margin in nearly three years. Applied predicted that sales in the current quarter would rise another 13% to 19% from the year-earlier period.

Union Pacific Corp.(UNP) unveiled a two-for-one stock split and said it will increase this year’s capital spending to $4.1 billion.

Carmike Cinemas Inc.(CKEC), the nation’s fourth-largest movie theater chain, said Thursday it is acquiring Digital Cinema Destinations Corp.(DCIN), a smaller rival that does business as Digiplex.

Navidea Biopharmaceuticals Inc.(NAVB) said Chief Executive Mark Pykett would leave that post around the end of this month as the company restructures its biopharmaceutical product pipeline.

Dillard's Inc.(DDS) said its fiscal first-quarter profit slipped modestly, though its per-share earnings beat market expectations.

Cell phone service for under $20: Worth it?

cheap wireless service

It's entirely possible to pay less than $20 for smartphone service, but trade-offs are required.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) Over the past few years, a large crop of cell phone companies have popped up promising far cheaper rates than the likes of AT&T and Verizon. There are pros and cons to their plans, but they do stay true to their word: They really are much cheaper.

There are no shortage of these companies. Ting, RingPlus, Zact, Republic Wireless, FreedomPop, Boost Mobile, H20, Net10 ... the list goes on.

While each has its own nuances in pricing and phones, they all function in the same fundamental way. Prices can go as low as $0 a month - which FreedomPop promises - and can jump as high as $60 a month if you're in search of a completely unlimited plan that offers 4G (see: H20 Wireless).

In between, there's the full spectrum of price ranges, and most resellers let you add and subtract features to personalize your plan around your specific usage to save as much money as possible.

For the most part, you get what you pay for. These plans are in no way more convenient than Verizo, (VZ, Fortune 500) AT&, (T, Fortune 500)Sprin or (S, Fortune 500) T-Mobile' pla (TMUS)ns, since they typically require you to make a compromise of some sort.

T-Mobile CEO's world with no contracts   T-Mobile CEO's world with no contracts

Top Cheapest Stocks To Invest In Right Now

The great caveat with super cheap cell phone plans comes down to the phones themselves. The vast majority of dirt cheap cell phone services don't offer much in the way of desirable phones, instead funneling you to a selection of dated, low-end Android phones.

If you're someone who likes having newer Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500) iPhones, or if you like having all the latest apps and software updates, you're probably better off sticking to the major carriers.

You can bring your own device to many of these low-cost carriers, but chances are it has to be a Sprint-compatible phone, since the majority of companies are reselling Sprint service.

If you're jumping ship from AT&T or Verizon and don't like the phones these resellers offer, you not only have to buy anothe! r new or used phone, but you have to spend time tracking down the the phone you want in an unlocked, Sprint-compatible version. And depending on the carrier, there might even be further restrictions on the phones that work with their service.

On paper, the best option for super-cheap cell service comes from Republic Wireless, which on the cheaper end will let you pay $150 for a Moto G and $25 per month for unlimited talk, text, and 3G data.

If you have a deeper wallet, you can pay $300 for the Moto X, and $40/month for unlimited talk, text, and 4G data, which is still pretty reasonable. But the catch is that you can only use those two phones with their service.

If those hurdles are not a major issue for you, ultra-cheap cell phone companies typically have have good track records from customers. Cell service works as advertised, there aren't any hidden costs, and the bottom line is that you'll get what you're after: cheaper cellphone service. To top of page

Saturday, May 17, 2014

8 real-world style tips for grads

College students are notorious for blurring the lines between pajamas and clothing, favoring floors over closets for clothing storage, and for borrowing outfits from friends and boyfriends — whether they fit or not.

Then, one day, they put on a graduation gown and enter the job market where wardrobe norms can be a bit less lenient.

"All of a sudden, they need to be wearing clothes that are tailored properly and that are pressed and professional," says Peggy Noe Stevens, author of "Professional Presence: A Four-Part Program for Building your Personal Brand" and president of Peggy Noe Stevens & Associates, a Louisville, Ky., image consulting firm.

"Most of them have no idea where to begin. Many of them don't own a single item that could be worn into an interview."

And buying that one great interview suit — a rite of passage 10 years ago — just doesn't cut it anymore. "The professional wardrobe has changed," says Stevens. "It's all over the board. Some companies are more casual; others are still suit and tie. ... You want to dress appropriately, but you want to do more than that. You want to dress like you belong."

If that task seems daunting, it doesn't have to be. "Dressing for an interview takes some thought and some homework," says Wendy Jacobs, vice president and regional employment manager for BB&T. Jacobs interviews nearly 100 job candidates a year and also talks to business students about interviewing etiquette at local colleges. "I tell students to just pick up the phone," says Jacobs. "Call human resources and ask about the dress code. It's never wrong to do that."

In other words, your clothes can set you apart. You want them to do that in a positive way.

Hannah Fulkerson(Photo: By Michael Clevenger/The C-J)

To mak! e sure that happens, here's a quick list of interview dressing do's and don'ts:

1. BUILD YOUR GROWN-UP WARDROBE. Start assembling the makings of an adult closet now. "I tell students to start thinking about a professional wardrobe before or as soon as they graduate," says Stevens. "You need that suit, yes, but you should also think in terms of good basics. Good pants. A few good tailored shirts. Nice shoes."

2. LEARN HOW TO IRON. "I can't tell you how many people mention young people coming in looking rumpled," says Jacobs. "I always say, 'Neat, clean and pressed. It doesn't have to be expensive. But you have to look polished and presentable.' "

3. TAKE A GOOD LOOK IN THE MIRROR — OR GET A PROFESSIONAL OPINION. Extremely long hair, tattoos, nail art, wild hair colors and even facial hair for guys may be commonplace on campuses, but they're not as welcome in every workplace. "I tell grads to book a consultation and talk to a stylist," says Stevens. "You want to look polished and relevant." Whether or not you cut or color your hair, it's wise to go into an interview with a fairly conservative beauty look.

4. PUT YOUR BEST FOOT FORWARD — AND NOT IN SANDALS. The experts agree that crazy, colorful, sexy shoes don't scream 'serious job candidate.' Whether it's a pair of wildly colored men's athletic shoes or chunky platform sandals, bold footwear is a step in the wrong direction. "Men should be wearing loafers or oxfords; women should stick with classic pumps or conservative peep toes," says Chris Fulkerson, president of VIP studios, a local image consulting agency.

5. PAY ATTENTION TO FIT. Buying grown-up clothes is a good start, but don't stop there: Make sure they fit properly. Take it to a tailor. Try it on for your parents. "You want to make sure the fit is precise," says Fulkerson, whose two college-age daughters recently found jobs. After all, anyone who takes the time to get the fit just right would probably take the time to attend to a whole host of other details tha! t an empl! oyer is looking to delegate.

6. MOM MAY BE WRONG: YOU PROBABLY CAN SKIP THE PANTYHOSE. Up until two or three years ago, pantyhose was a conservative workplace standard — even in the sweltering summer. Good news for recent grads: "Hose are not required anymore," says Jacobs. "It's worth a call to HR, but our bank is very conservative and we've changed our dress code."

7. AS LONG AS YOU DON'T LOOK SEXY. Bare legs may be OK, but not if you're showing too much of them. "One of the biggest mistakes women can make is dressing too sexy," says Jacobs. Hemlines should hit right above the knee and cleavage is a no-no. The same goes for clingy or sheer fabrics and "too much bling."

8. DON'T DRESS LIKE A CLONE. You want your clothes to be neat. Clean. Pressed. Well-fitting. But that doesn't mean they have to be boring. So forget those images of navy blue suits, pumps and suntan hose — or gray suits and rep ties — and find work clothes that you also actually like to wear. "If you feel good in your clothes, you project confidence," says Jacobs. And that, regardless of where you're interviewing, always works.

THE LOOK THAT GOT THE JOB

Sydney Fulkerson, a University of Kentucky senior in merchandising and business, was recently offered an internship with a small Los Angeles fashion label. Her look:

-- A sophisticated (not sexy) leather skirt and top signal an interest in fashion.

-- This sleek jacket looks polished and pulled together.

-- An envelope clutch adds a finishing touch and organizes papers.


ANOTHER LOOK THAT LANDED THE JOB

Hannah Fulkerson, who recently completed her master's degree in art therapy at the University of Louisville, just took a job as an art therapist working with children in Boston.

-- Soft blue (jacket) is approachable.

-- Black pants look professional, but not fussy.

-- Shoulder bag and classic pumps are practical and pulled together.

Thursday, May 15, 2014

3 Stocks Rising on Big Volume

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Professional traders running mutual funds and hedge funds don't just look at a stock's price moves; they also track big changes in volume activity. Often when above-average volume moves into an equity, it precedes a large spike in volatility.

>>5 Hated Earnings Stocks You Should Love

Major moves in volume can signal unusual activity, such as insider buying or selling -- or buying or selling by "superinvestors."

Unusual volume can also be a major signal that hedge funds and momentum traders are piling into a stock ahead of a catalyst. These types of traders like to get in well before a large spike, so it's always a smart move to monitor unusual volume. That said, remember to combine trend and price action with unusual volume. Put them all together to help you decipher the next big trend for any stock.

>>5 Stocks Insiders Love Right Now

With that in mind, let's take a look at several stocks rising on unusual volume recently.

ChipMOS Technologies

ChipMOS Technologies (IMOS), through its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor testing and assembly services and memory and logic/mixed-signal products. This stock closed up 3% at $22.55 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 517,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 265,734

Volume % Change: 117%

From a technical perspective, IMOS spiked notably higher here right off its 50-day moving average of $22.03 with above-average volume. This stock has been uptrending a bit over the last few weeks, with shares moving higher from its low of $20.08 to its intraday high of $23.20. During that move, shares of IMOS have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. Market players should now look for a continuation move to the upside in the short-term if IMOS manages to take out Wednesday's intraday high of $23.20 to its 52-week high of $24.09 with strong upside volume flows.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in IMOS as long as it's trending above its 50-day at $22.03 or above $21 and then once it sustains a move or close above $23.20 to $24.09 with volume that hits near or above 265,734 shares. If that move gets underway soon, then IMOS will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory above $24.09, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that move are $25 to $30.

Osiris Therapeutics

Osiris Therapeutics (OSIR), a stem cell company, focuses on the development and marketing products to treat medical conditions in wound care, orthopedic and sports medicine markets. This stock closed up 9.1% at $16.37 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 1.06 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 278,990

Volume % Change: 290%

From a technical perspective, OSIR exploded higher here back above its 200-day moving average of $15.63 and into breakout territory above some near-term overhead resistance at $15.76 with heavy upside volume. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last month, with shares moving higher from its low of $11.800 to its intraday high of $16.74. During that uptrend, shares of OSIR have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. Market players should now look for a continuation move to the upside if shares of OSIR manage to take out Wednesday's intraday high of $16.74 with strong volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in OSIR as long as it's trending above its 200-day at $15.63 or above Wednesday's low of $14.62 and then once it sustains a move or close above $16.74 with volume that's near or above 278,990 shares. If that move triggers soon, then OSIR will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $17.50 to $17.60, or even $18.41 to $19.75.

KEYW Holding

KEYW Holding (KEYW), through its subsidiaries, provides mission-critical cybersecurity, cyber superiority and geospatial intelligence solutions to the U.S. Government defense, intelligence and national security agencies, and commercial enterprises. This stock closed up 3% at $10.82 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 1.19 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 578,205

Volume % Change: 145%

From a technical perspective, KEYW spiked higher here right off its 52-week low of $10.08 with above-average volume. This stock has been downtrending badly for the last two months and change, with shares moving lower from its high of $23.09 to its 52-week low of $10.08. During that move, shares of KEYW have been consistently making lower highs and lower lows, which is bearish technical price action. That said, shares of KEYW now look ready to reverse that downtrend and possibly enter a new uptrend since the stock is coming off those levels with volume. Market players should now look for a continuation move to the upside in the short-term if KEYW can manage to clear Wednesday's intraday high of $10.94 to some more near-term overhead resistance at $11.28 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in KEYW as long as it's trending above its 52-week low of $10.08 and then once it sustains a move or close above $10.94 to $11.28 with volume that's near or above 578,205 shares. If that move starts soon, then KEYW will set up to rebound back towards its next major overhead resistance levels at $13.35 to its 200-day moving average of $14.41. Any high-volume move above those levels will then give KEYW a chance to tag its next major overhead resistance levels at $15.20 to its 50-day moving average of $16.26.

To see more stocks rising on unusual volume, check out the Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>Hedge Funds Hate These 5 Stocks -- Should You?



>>5 Rocket Stocks to Beat a Sideways Market

Hot Oil Service Companies To Watch For 2015



>>5 Big Charts Ready to Break Out in May

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


Wednesday, May 14, 2014

Not All Gold Is Created Equal: What to Know Before You Buy

If you own gold, or are thinking of buying some, here's something you need to consider...

It's not all the same.

Some, like fake gold-painted lead ingots, have no value whatsoever.

Some gold said to be in storage or in the ground may not even be there at all.

There are a number of aspects of gold's quality, whether it's real or even exists, that every investor needs to know...

The Best Gold to Buy

When investors evaluate gold mining companies, for example, there are a lot of factors to consider, like politics, infrastructure, deposit size and location, etc.

But one crucial element is the quality of the ore. The more highly concentrated the gold is per ton of rock, the less it will typically cost to produce each ounce.

When looking to buy gold coins, it's usually the gold content that differentiates various types.

goldFor North Americans, the four coins at left are among the most popular. Although they all contain 1 full troy ounce of gold, some also contain other metals, like copper, which makes the coin harder and therefore less subject to wear and tear.

Both of the American coins typically command somewhat higher premiums than either their Canadian or South African brethren, thanks to their level of recognition in North America.

Nonetheless, the Maple Leaf and Krugerrand are both among the most popular coins worldwide.

Although these coins are produced by their respective national mints, only the Krugerrand does not carry a face value. Of course, those that do are clearly worth much more than the stated $50, but this does make them legal tender in their issuing countries. The two American and one Canadian coin I've described are guaranteed by their respective governments for both content and purity.

Another popular gold investment option is gold bars.

One very significant characteristic here is to consider whether the bars are "good delivery" or not. Essentially, good delivery bars are sourced from a reputable refiner who is on the "good delivery" list of the industry standard London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) and the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).

Bars bearing the stamp and fineness of these refiners are typically readily accepted by gold dealers, allowing the seller an easier transaction and higher value.

Of course there's always a risk, however slight, that a gold coin or bar may be counterfeit. But there are a number of ways for you to assess whether or not your gold is real. Back in early 2013, I wrote an article titled Seven Ways to Tell if Your Gold Is Counterfeit to address this very topic.

Does America Really Have Its Gold? Government Steps In...

President Roosevelt signed Executive Order 6102 on April 5, 1933, 'forbidding the hoarding of gold coin, gold bullion, and gold certificates within the continental United States.' In effect, the order meant the possession of monetary gold was made criminal. The rationale for confiscation was that citizens were "hoarding" gold, which was impeding growth in the economy, thereby exacerbating the depression. In effect, since U.S. dollars were exchangeable for gold at a fixed price ($20.67), Treasury was restricted in its money printing by the amount of gold it held. A large infusion through confiscation dramatically increased the government's gold holdings, whose value was further increased when Treasury raised the gold price to $35 per ounce. The rest is history. "

There's also the issue of where individual nations' gold is stored, and whether it's even there at all.

Former Congressman Ron Paul has long questioned whether Fort Knox indeed holds the 5,000 tons of gold we're told it does.

Paul has pressed for an independent audit and even introduced legislation calling for one back in 2011. But this was never passed.

The last time Fort Knox was audited dates back to 1953. No outside experts were allowed to participate, and only a tiny 5% of the gold was even tested. Back then, the U.S. held more than 20,000 tons. That's since been sold down to the current official level of 8,133 metric tons.

It's true that (sadly) gold is not used to back the U.S. dollar. But if ever it were revealed that even some of the nation's gold reserves had been sold without it being reported, it could lead to a massive loss of confidence in government, and by extension the U.S. dollar. This has serious implications, since the greenback has long been the de facto reserve currency for the world.

And without auditing and testing it, there's no assurance of what's really there.

Most of the gold coins confiscated by Roosevelt's Executive Order 6102 in 1933 were melted down. The resulting bars held today could have a high copper content, meaning some of America's gold may not even be good delivery quality.

Know Your Gold

Whether you have a stake in gold through coins, bars, or even gold mining shares, it's imperative that you know whether it's real and understand the quality of what you own.

If ever an audit of Fort Knox takes place, make sure you own some bullion yourself (in advance of the results), in case the outcome disappoints and potentially brings about major dollar weakness.

So what can you do to hedge against a crashing U.S. dollar? One idea is to look toward oil.

Crude oil is not only the most widely traded commodity, it's also crucial for the world to function. But owning oil futures for an extended period can be costly. And investing in oil futures through ETFs comes with decay problems from rolling over contracts.

I like the idea of investing in a group of the largest integrated energy companies, oil and gas explorers/producers, and energy equipment and services. It's like a call option on energy with no expiry date. One of the best alternatives in this sector is the Vanguard Energy ETF (NYSE: VDE).

This ETF provides instant diversification within the energy space, currently trades at a reasonable P/E of 14, and pays a 1.63% dividend, all with an annual expense ratio of just 0.14%

The bottom line is make certain you know what you own. In the end, the biggest counterfeiters of all are central banks and their currency printing sprees. So if it turns out America's gold is gone, holding the real thing could be the best insurance of all.

Tuesday, May 13, 2014

Stocks To Watch For May 13, 2014

Top Food Companies To Buy Right Now

Related FOSL Will Fossil Inc. (FOSL) Beat Earnings Estimates? - Analyst Blog UPDATE: Benchmark Upgrades Fossil Related RAX Rackspace Shares Rally 12+% Following Q1 Earnings Beat, Solid Guidance Earnings Scheduled For May 12, 2014

Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:

Wall Street expects Fossil Group (NASDAQ: FOSL) to post its Q1 earnings at $1.17 per share on revenue of $771.60 million. Fossil Group shares gained 0.73% to $112.90 in after-hours trading.

Rackspace Hosting (NYSE: RAX) reported better-than-expected first-quarter earnings. Rackspace reported its quarterly earnings of $0.18 per share on revenue of $421 million. Rackspace shares surged 13.26% to $31.18 in the after-hours trading session.

Analysts are expecting Take-Two Interactive Software (NASDAQ: TTWO) to have earned $0.10 per share on revenue of $202.51 million in the fourth quarter. Take-Two Interactive shares rose 0.01% to $20.67 in after-hours trading.

Elizabeth Arden (NASDAQ: RDEN) reported a wider fiscal-third-quarter loss and announced its plans to explore its strategic alternatives. Elizabeth Arden posted a quarterly adjusted loss of $0.84 per share on revenue of $210.8 million. However, analysts were projecting the company to break even on revenue of $256.9 million. Elizabeth Arden shares dipped 16.73% to $29.67 in the after-hours trading session.

Analysts expect CST Brands (NYSE: CST) to report its Q1 earnings at $0.19 per share on revenue of $3.07 billion. CST Brands shares climbed 0.66% to $33.50 in after-hours trading.

McKesson (NYSE: MCK) reported upbeat fiscal fourth-quarter results. McKesson posted its adjusted earnings of $2.55 a share, beating analysts' estimates of $2.39 per share. McKesson shares climbed 3.28% to $179.94 in the after-hours trading session.

Posted-In: Stocks To WatchEarnings News Pre-Market Outlook Markets Trading Ideas

© 2014 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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Sunday, May 11, 2014

Can Pfizer Make Up Its Loss?

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Loss of patents ate up a chunk of Pfizer (PFE)'s profits as evidenced by recently released figures. Earnings reports, recently released, disappointed investors with its bleak outlook as its first quarter profit dropped 15% despite many implementations to reduce expenses. The company's revenue, too, declined by 9%, especially after the loss of its patent drugs, which once earned a massive profit of billions. Cholesterol inhibitor Lipitor, which alone earned nearly $13 billion, suffered an astounding 71% dip.

The Current Picture

CEO Ian Read has restructured the business into three different segments. New drugs, generic and already established medicines make up the first two while the third consists of a mix of vaccines, cancer drugs and consumer health products. Among these three, established products took the biggest blow with a 10% fall in revenue, while the new- drug segment fell only by 4%. The third segment showed mixed results with oncology medicine revenue growing by 10% while consumer products fell by 3%.

The pharma giant had expected an impressive top-line from its newer products such as Eliquis and Lyrica, but huge losses incurred by losing out the exclusivity of its best-selling drugs could not be made up by the newer products. The company's net income was 2.33 billion, or 36 cents per share early this year, down from 2.75 billion, or 38 per cent comparison in last year.

Future Prediction

Despite a sharp decline in first quarter revenue, the company is hopeful about the future of its bottom line. Although Pfizer lost the patent to its most profitable drug, the company still foresees a favorable outcome, in the coming months. In fact, the profit fell at a slower rate than its revenue, dropping by 5% to $0.36 per share, which may create a better feeling to its investors.

CEO Ian Read claimed that the pipeline is brimming with products which could possibly revolutionize the market in near future. He also confirmed that company's profit for earnings per share would be around 2.20 to 2.30 while the revenue expected to be $49.2 billion to 52.3 billion. The company is expecting to recover the loss from the sale of its, as yet experimental, drug Palbociclib. Expected future growth in sales of its pneumonia vaccine Prevner 13 has, too, been deemed to be helpful.

But the main hope, as we all know, is pinned on the deal with British company Astrazeneca Plc (AZN).

About The AstraZeneca Deal

Even after being refused three times, Pfizer is still enthusiastic about the deal with British rival AstraZeneca. Despite repeated rebuffs, the U.S. company is relentless in its pursuit of AstraZeneca and has repeatedly asked to discuss the purchasing bid.

Acquiring AstraZeneca has a lot of potential benefits for Pfizer. For one, this merger would make Pfizer the largest pharmaceutical company in terms of revenue gain. With the announcement of the recent three way deal between GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), Novartis (NVS) and Eli Lilly (LLY), Pfizer Inc desperately needs something to keep investors interested – and for the right reasons.

AstraZeneca also boasts of several drugs in the pipeline that could vitalize Pfizer's profile, the most interesting being the experimental cancer drug that could facilitate the body's immune system to detect and destroy cancerous cells. The acquisition further comes with the benefit of lower tax rates for the pharma giant. By merging with its British rival, Pfizer would be able to shift its legal addresses to UK thus circumventing higher US tax deductions.

But of course, all this happens only when the deal goes through, if it goes through at all.

So What Does It All Mean?

Pfizer, as a company, is failing and officials know that. They have several ideas and forecasts, but it is just that – a probably future. For the second time last week, AstraZeneca rejected Pfizer's bid, this time a whopping $106 billion. Sources say that the British corporation is unwilling to even enter negotiations. To put it in a nutshell, AstraZeneca is just not interested.

In the meantime Pfizer's shares keep on dropping. Since the start of May, the stock has fallen by over 6%. Moreover, in the last 12 months, the stock has only gained 3.5%, one of the worst performances from any major drug maker enlisted in the S&P 500.

Parting Thoughts

The losses incurred by the company are not made up easily. The failed expectancies, loss of patents as well as the botched deal all point to a bleak future. However the time to despair hasn't, as yet, arrived.

One of the leading names in pharmaceutical products, Pfizer is not one to bow down easily. The drug maker is trying out new avenues to pick up its pace. While these will take time, we are hopeful the strategy will bear fut. It is true that the company is balanced at a precarious edge, but we are confident it won't topple just yet. We just have to wait till it finds its footing.

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Thursday, May 8, 2014

Rieder: 'Jet' magazine makes a digital landing

Samir Husni took this one hard.

Husni, founder and director of the Magazine Innovation Center at the University of Mississippi and the man who trademarked his nickname "Mr. Magazine," was doing some consulting in Cape Town, South Africa, when he got the news about Jet.

Jet, a 63-year-old publication aimed at the black community, played an important role in thrusting the civil rights movement into the American consciousness. On Wednesday, the pocket-size magazine, which already had cut back from weekly publication to once every three weeks, announced that it will be converting into a digital weekly at the end of June.

"I've never been as saddened by the demise of a magazine as much as I was by the news about Jet," Husni says. "It's an American institution."

It's easy to see Jet's fate as yet another nail in the coffin of print in a digital world. But the reality is more complicated. Many magazines continue to make money, albeit not as much as in their halcyon days. Husni points out that quite a number of titles have recently published their largest issues ever. There are about 10,000 magazines today, as opposed to 2,000 in 1980. And a number of digital-based magazines have made forays into the print world.

Desiree Rogers, CEO of Johnson Publishing Company (JPC), which publishes JET Magazine.(Photo: Johnson Publishing)

Similarly, newspapers, while embattled, don't seem on the verge of going away anytime soon. Again, many are profitable. And a number of intriguing new players — think investment superstar Warren Buffett, Amazon founder and CEO Jeff Bezos, Boston Red Sox owner John Henry, Minnesota Timberwolves owner Glen Taylor, free-spending Orange County Register owner Aaron Kushner — have been drawn to ! a field once largely consigned to the dustbin of history. Suddenly we have new newspaper wars in Los Angeles, New Orleans, Long Beach.

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So Husni takes another lesson from Jet's shift. It's a crowded, competitive market out there, and you've got to put out a first-class product to compete. And that means investment. Jet, Husni feels, was moving in the opposite direction, with thin issues and less frequent publication.

But while Husni is in mourning, Desiree Rogers, CEO of Johnson Publishing, which owns Ebony as well as Jet, would urge the magazine maven not to be so blue. Rogers, a former White House social secretary in the Obama administration, sees the development as a move back to Jet's roots.

Jet was born as a small, digest-size publication intended to be a quick read. "In the world today, everything is moving faster. There is more news and far less time to read it," founder John Johnson said in the first issue back in 1951.

Jet had gotten away from its weekly format, Rogers points out. Now, it will be weekly again, presenting a new issue every seven days on a paid app ($20 a year) for mobile devices. The magazine also will post breaking news updates daily on its website.

Rogers says the quick digital read will be a perfect complement to Ebony, with its longer-form pieces on lifestyle issues

Jet will continue to cover entertainment, politics, pop culture and social issues important to the black community. But Rogers is excited about the new features the new format makes possible.

Instead of just mentioning that hot new movie, Jet will link to a trailer. In the Love and Marriage section, Jet may take you to the wedding.

Johnson Publishing is a private company, and Rogers won't discuss the magazine's financial state. But she says pointedly that Jet's printing and postage bills are a formidable challenge, given the ! magazine'! s rate base of 700,000.

So what would founder Johnson, whose magazine's high point was its groundbreaking coverage of the Emmett Till lynching in Mississippi in 1955, think of the forthcoming digital plunge?

"If Mr, Johnson were here," Rogers says, "he would have said, 'What took you guys so long?'"

Tuesday, May 6, 2014

5 Stocks With Crummy Earnings Growth — BBRY TCI ZQK RBCN MGPI

RSS Logo Portfolio Grader Popular Posts: 7 Biotechnology Stocks to Buy Now10 Best “Strong Buy” Stocks — DAL ILMN TPL and more13 “Triple A” Stocks to Buy Recent Posts: Biggest Movers in Utilities Stocks Now – OGS CPL ELP NRG Hottest Healthcare Stocks Now – WCG PCRX ARNA THC Biggest Movers in Technology Stocks Now – IDTI AVGO ALU CODE View All Posts

This week, these five stocks have the worst ratings in Earnings Growth, one of the eight Fundamental Categories on Portfolio Grader.

BlackBerry Limited () engages in the design, manufacture and marketing of wireless solutions worldwide. BBRY gets F’s in Earnings Momentum, Analyst Earnings Revisions, Equity, Cash Flow and Sales Growth as well. .

Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. () is a real estate company that owns a variety of properties located across the United States. TCI gets F’s in Earnings Momentum, Equity and Cash Flow as well. .

Quiksilver, Inc. () is an outdoor sports lifestyle company that designs, produces and distributes a diversified mix of branded apparel, footwear, accessories, snowboards and related products. ZQK also gets F’s in Earnings Momentum, Analyst Earnings Revisions, Equity and Sales Growth. Shares of the stock have declined 23.3% since January 1. This is worse than the S&P 500, which has remained flat. .

Rubicon Technology, Inc. () is an electronic materials provider that develops, manufactures and sells monocrystalline sapphire and other innovative crystalline products for LEDs, RFICs, blue laser diodes, optoelectronics and other optical applications. RBCN gets F’s in Earnings Momentum, Analyst Earnings Revisions, Equity and Sales Growth as well. Shares of the stock have declined 6.6% since January 1. .

MGP Ingredients, Inc. () produces and markets ingredients and distillery products. MGPI also gets an F in Equity. .

Louis Navellier’s proprietary Portfolio Grader stock ranking system assesses roughly 5,000 companies every week based on a number of fundamental and quantitative measures. Stocks are given a letter grade based on their results — with A being “strong buy,” and F being “strong sell.” Explore the tool here.

Monday, May 5, 2014

Eurozone Unemployment Rate Down Slightly In March

The eurozone's economy is showing some vitality, after several stunning years of financial setback.

Eurostat, the European Union's statistics office, reports the euro area's seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate was 11.8 percent in March. That figure has remained stable for the last four months and was down from 12 percent in March of 2013.

Timo del Carpio, a European economist at RBC Capital Markets, told the BBC the new figures "lend more weight to the view that unemployment in the euro area peaked late last year, which will offer some degree of reassurance to policymakers that the recovery is slowly gaining traction."

Nearly 19 million people remain unemployed in the 18-nation eurozone, however.

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Related: Average National Gas Prices At Their Highest Since March 2013

And while sectors such as manufacturing are showing better figures, the region's recovery is still very uneven. The lowest eurozone jobless rates were seen in Austria (4.9 percent), Germany (5.1 percent) and Luxembourg (6.1 percent) – while unemployment in Italy was close to 13 percent. In Spain, the jobless rate last month was 25.3 percent, while in Greece figures for January were the highest in the eurozone, at 26.7 percent.

"The cross-country divergence is still very, very significant, much more so than in other data," Frederik Ducrozet, a senior euro zone economist at Credit Agricole, said during an interview with Reuters. "There is a lag right now which is usual, but unless there is another shock to the economy, the unemployment rate should decline," he said.

There are concerns, however, about the the continuing high unemployment rates for Europe's younger workers. While overall youth unemployment in the eurozone came in at 23.7 percent last month, compared to 24 percent in March of 2013, nearly half of younger workers in Croatia were jobless during the first quarter of 2014, compared to nearly 54 percent in Spain and 56.8 percent in Greece.

Germany and Austria had the lowest youth unemployment levels in the eurozone, at 7.8 percent and 9.5 percent, respectively.

Posted-In: Credit Agricole EU European Union Europe Eurozone Frederik Ducrozet italy spain Timo del Carpio. RBC Capital MarketsNews Eurozone Global Economics Markets Media Best of Benzinga

© 2014 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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