Ever heard of the Taylor Rule?
Not many people have, but the folks at the U.S. Federal Reserve are very familiar with it - and they'd probably prefer that this highly respected guideline for the federal funds rate languish in obscurity.
Basically the Taylor Rule is a mathematical equation based on inflation, output, and other economic measures. It was created in 1993 by John B. Taylor, a renowned economics professor at Stanford University.
Ordinarily, the actual Fed funds rate should track within the range of where the Taylor Rule says it should be.
And for most of the past 30 years, that's pretty much what's happened.
But since 2009, the Fed funds rate has diverged from the Taylor Rule - a divergence that's getting bigger all the time.
It's yet another signal that the Fed's easy money policies - namely keeping interest rates near zero while pouring on quantitative easing (bond-buying) that makes effective interest rates negative - are becoming increasingly dangerous the longer they go on.
Top 5 Gold Stocks To Invest In 2015: Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC(OZM)
Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides investment advisory services for its clients. It invests in equity markets across the world. The firm makes its investments in alternative markets across the world. It employs quantitative and qualitative analysis to make its investments. The firm also manages a buyout fund, Och-Ziff Energy Fund. Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC was founded in 1994 and is based New York, New York with additional offices in London, United Kingdom; Hong Kong; Tokyo, Japan; Bangalore, India; and Beijing, China.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By James Brumley]
In the meantime, the 9%-plus dividend yield — at 40 cents per share, which is a dime better than SFL stock paid out in 2009 — is nothing to sneeze at.
Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC (OZM)OZM Dividend Yield: 13.6%
- [By MONEYMORNING]
Although there are many great companies to choose from in the alternative investment management space, there are two that I really like, and that investors should consider owning. The first is hedge fund titan Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC (NYSE: OZM).
Top Industrial Disributor Stocks To Watch For 2014: ParkerVision Inc.(PRKR)
Parkervision, Inc. engages in the design, development, and sale of proprietary radio frequency (RF) technologies and products for use in semiconductor circuits for wireless communication products in the United States. The company provides its wireless technologies for processing RF waveforms in wireless applications. Its technology applies to transmit and receive functions of a radio transceiver. Its transmit portion of the technology, Direct2Power, enables the transformation of a baseband data signal to an RF carrier waveform at the desired power output level in a single unified operation. The company?s receiver portion of the technology, Direct2Data, enables the direct conversion of an RF carrier to a baseband data signal. It also provides engineering consulting and design services to its customers to assist them in developing prototypes and/or products incorporating its technologies. The company licenses its intellectual property and sells integrated circuits for incor poration into wireless devices designed by its customers. It primarily focuses on incorporating its technologies into mobile handsets, as well as to other wireless products that are related to networks serving mobile handsets, such as data cards, femtocells, and machine-to-machine and embedded applications. The company?s technology is also used in non-cellular radio applications comprising military radios. In addition, Parkervision, Inc. develops wireless radio modules for mobile handset and data card applications through a joint development and marketing agreement with LG Innotek Co., Ltd. It serves mobile handset manufacturers and their chipset suppliers in the mobile handset industry. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Paul Ausick]
Stocks on the Move: ParkerVision Inc. (NASDAQ: PRKR) is down 59.2% at $2.89 following a smaller-than-hoped-for award in its patent suit against Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM). NQ Mobile Inc. (NYSE: NQ) is down 50.7% at $11.28 following a blistering from analysts at Muddy Waters.
- [By Markman Advisors]
Public companies leveraging their patent portfolios, (aka "patent plays"), are getting the market's attention. Companies such as Vringo (VRNG), ParkerVision (PRKR), MGT Capital (MGT), Worlds Inc. (WDDD.OB) and others have presented trading opportunities due to their volatility while retaining the chance for a big payoff to those investors who stay the course. Yet there exist viable patent plays that are still undiscovered. Some of these so called "plays," which are not getting enough attention, are actually real companies making and selling real products or services in contrast to pure patent monetization companies. Some known examples are Single Touch Interactive (SITO.OB) and Blue Calypso (BCYP.OB). This article is focused on another one of these patent plays, On Track Innovations Ltd. (OTIV).
- [By Bryan Murphy]
I hate to be the one to say I told you so, but, I told you so. It's Vringo, Inc. (NASDAQ:VRNG) all over again. What's that? The euphoria - the certainty - that drove ParkerVision, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRKR)� shares from a price of $2.46 to a high of $7.78 in just seven trading days, only to see it all come crashing down on the 8th day. PRKR plunged to a close of $2.90 on the 8th day (yesterday) when the gamble didn't pan out for speculators who were sure it would. Score another one for not picking stocks like you were tossing a coin.
- [By Bryan Murphy]
I don't come hear to pat myself on the back, however. I come hear to let you know the same conditions that made American Community overbought and ripe for a reversal and suggested Real Goods Solar, Inc. was ready to rally are now saying - respectively - ParkerVision, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRKR) shares are due for a pullback and Arca Biopharma Inc. (NASDAQ:ABIO) is on the verge of a big bullish thrust.
Top Industrial Disributor Stocks To Watch For 2014: Weyco Group Inc.(WEYS)
Weyco Group, Inc. engages in the distribution of men?s foot wear primarily in the United States, Canada, Europe, Australia, Asia, and South Africa. It offers casual, dress, and fashion shoes. The company offers its products under the brand names of Florsheim, Nunn Bush, Stacy Adams, Umi, Brass Boot, and Nunn Bush NXXT. Weyco Group sells its products to shoe specialty stores, department stores, and clothing retailers. As of December 31, 2010, it owned 35 retail stores in the United States and an Internet business. The company was formerly known as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company and changed its name to Weyco Group, Inc. in April 1990. Weyco Group, Inc. was founded in 1896 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Seth Jayson]
Calling all cash flows
When you are trying to buy the market's best stocks, it's worth checking up on your companies' free cash flow once a quarter or so, to see whether it bears any relationship to the net income in the headlines. That's what we do with this series. Today, we're checking in on Weyco Group (Nasdaq: WEYS ) , whose recent revenue and earnings are plotted below.
Top Industrial Disributor Stocks To Watch For 2014: Frozen Food Express Industries Inc.(FFEX)
Frozen Food Express Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides temperature-controlled truckload and less-than-truckload services in the United States. It offers truckload linehaul, dedicated fleets, and less-than-truckload linehaul services, as well as brokerage services, including ocean, air, and domestic and international expedited services. The company primarily transports meat, ice, poultry, seafood, processed foods, candy and other confectionaries, dairy products, pharmaceuticals, medical supplies, fresh and frozen fruits and vegetables, cosmetics, films, and Christmas trees. It also leases refrigerated trailers for the storage and transportation of perishable items. As of September 30, 2011, the company operated a fleet of 1,178 tractors and 2,360 trailers. Frozen Food Express Industries, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By John Udovich]
Despite what can best be described as a�soft economy, small cap trucking stocks YRC Worldwide, Inc (NASDAQ: YRCW), Arkansas Best Corporation (NASDAQ: ABFS), Frozen Food Express Industries, Inc (NASDAQ: FFEX), Saia Inc (NASDAQ: SAIA) and USA Truck, Inc (NASDAQ: USAK) have been trucking some pretty impressive returns since the start of the year. In fact, these small cap trucking stocks are up anywhere from 72% to 150% or so since the start of the year despite the slow economy. Certainly trucking stocks provide a good indicator of how the economy is doing, but might investors be�jumping the gun by pushing up these trucking stocks?
Top Industrial Disributor Stocks To Watch For 2014: LMI Aerospace Inc.(LMIA)
LMI Aerospace, Inc. provides design engineering services, structural assemblies, kits, and components to the aerospace, defense, and technology markets primarily in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Aerostructures and Engineering Services. The Aerostructures segment fabricates, machines, finishes, integrates, assembles, and kits formed close tolerance aluminum, specialty alloy, and composite components, as well as higher level assemblies. Its aerospace products include wing slats and flapskins; winglet leading edges and related wing modification kits; fuselage and wing skins; helicopter cabin, aft section, and pylon components and assemblies; door surrounds, components, assemblies, and floorbeams; thrust reversers and engine nacelles/cowlings; cockpit window frames and landing light lens assemblies; interior components; structural sheet metal and extruded components; tailcone assemblies; and housings and assemblies. This segment also offers value-add ed services related to the design, production, assembly, and distribution of aerospace components. The Engineering Services segment provides design, engineering, and program management services, such as structural design and analysis, systems design and integration, tool design and fabrication, certification planning support, risk mitigation and producibility trade studies, and the development of program schedules and resource planning. Its services include wing/wingbox, fixed and moveable leading edges/trailing edges, fuselage, empennage, and tailcone design; winglet/wing mod design; nacelle, engine cowl, and thrust reverser design; weight improvement engineering; helicopter fuselage, cockpit, cabin frames, skins, longerons, and beams; aircraft modification engineering; aviation training system; aviation maintenance engineering; manufacturing engineering; and aviation system software engineering. The company was founded in 1948 and is based in St. Charles, Missouri.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Sally Jones] % over 12 months, Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) has a market cap of $45.06 billion. The current share price is $140.67, and trades with a P/E of 15.00. The dividend yield is 3.30%.
Lockheed Martin Corporation was formed in 1995 by combining the businesses of Lockheed Corporation and Martin Marietta Corporation. Lockheed Martin operates in four principal business segments: Aeronautics, Electronic Systems, Information Systems & Global Services and Space Systems.
Guru Action: As of Sept. 30, 2012, Jim Simons bought a new holding of 145,800 shares at an average price of $121.40 for a gain of 15.9%.
Guru Ray Dalio sold out his LMT after 16 quarters of high gains. In the third quarter of 2013, he sold 10,176 shares at an average price of $121.40 for a gain of 15.9%.
Numerous gurus traded LMT in third quarter.
There is recent insider selling.
Historical share pricing, revenue and net income tracking:
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B/E Aerospace Inc. (BEAV)
Up 93% over 12 months, B/E Aerospace Inc. has a market cap of $9.05 billion.
The current share price is $86.28, and trades with a P/E of 25.60. The company does not pay a dividend.
B/E Aerospace Inc. is a global manufacturer of aircraft cabin interior products and a distributor of aerospace fasteners and consumables.
Guru Action: As of Sept. 30, 2012, Guru Ken Fisher is one of four gurus making a new buy. Fisher bought a new holding of 21,800 shares at an average price of $70.20 for a gain of 23%.
Guru Larry Robbins was one of two gurus selling out in the third quarter. Robbins sold 341,692 shares at an average price of $70.20 for a gain of 22.9%.
Here�� a lot more guru action and recent insider selling.
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GuruFocus "Real Time Picks" reports the stock purchases and sales that Gurus have made within the prior 2 weeks. The report time lag can be as short as 2 days after the date of the transaction. This feature
Top Industrial Disributor Stocks To Watch For 2014: Experian PLC (EXPGY)
Experian plc, incorporated on June 30, 2006, is a provider of global information services. The Company provides data and analytical tools to organizations in North America, Latin America, the United Kingdom and Ireland, Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA) and Asia Pacific. Clients use these to manage credit risk, prevent fraud, target marketing offers and automate decision-making. Activities in the regions in which Experian operates are grouped into four global business lines: Credit Services, Decision Analytics, Marketing Services and Interactive. Experian provides data and analytical tools to organizations in North America, Latin America, United Kingdom and Ireland, EMEA and Asia Pacific. In November 2013, the Company acquired Passport Health Communications, Inc.
Credit Services
Experian helps organizations to manage credit risk, prevent fraud, target marketing offers and automate decision making. The Company also provides credit monitoring and identity protection services to millions of consumers via the Internet. At the core of Credit Services are the databases that Experian builds and manages, that hold the credit application and repayment histories of consumers and businesses. Globally, Experian holds credit payment data on consumers and million businesses. In total, Experian operates approximately 20 consumer credit bureaux and approximately15 business credit bureau worldwide. Experian�� automotive business supplies vehicle history reports in the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland and Italy. Reports typically include data on title, registration, history and accidents, manufacturer recall and repair records. The information is sold to automotive dealers, auction houses, automotive companies and direct-to-consumer. Clients principally include organizations that are extending or offering credit, such as financial services, telecommunications, utilities, insurance companies, hospitals and automotive dealers.
The Company competes with Dun & Bra! dstreet.
Decision Analytics
Solutions developed by Experian include application processing, customer management, fraud solutions and collections software and systems. Decision Analytics products are also used in the detection and prevention of fraud. Clients include financial services, telecommunications, utilities, retailers, insurance, automotive and the public sector.
It competes with Fair Isaac and SAS.
Marketing Services
Marketing Services provides data and segmentation tools to the organizations. Experian provides Marketing Services in some 30 countries. Marketing Services maintains databases of marketing information on consumers. Consumer profiles include data from many sources, including market surveys, postal addresses, electoral registers, Internet service providers and magazine subscription data. Globally, Experian holds demographic data on more than 700 million individuals in approximate 270 million households and online behavior data on Internet users across Websites. Experian has a Marketing Services presence worldwide, including Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States. Clients include financial services, retail, media, automotive and the public sector.
The Company competes with Acxiom, Epsilon, WPP, Omnicom, ExactTarget, Responsys, Neolane and eDialog.
Interactive
The Company�� Consumer Direct business provides credit monitoring and other information services directly to millions of consumers via the Internet. It enables consumers to monitor the accuracy of their credit report, to check their credit score and to protect against identity theft. Experian provides consumers with online access to their credit history. In the United States, CreditReport.com and freecreditscore.com, and in the United Kingdom, CreditExpert.co.uk, allow consumers to see the same information available to lenders. Experian�� identity protection services in ! the Unite! d States and the United Kingdom, ProtectMyID.com and ProtectMyID.co.uk, provide identity theft detection, protection and fraud resolution to consumers. In the United States, Safetyweb.com helps parents monitor their children�� online activity and its DataPatrol product provides realtime Web and social network monitoring to help prevent identity fraud before it happens.
The Company competes with Equifax, CallCredit, TransUnion and Fair Isaac.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By WWW.DAILYFINANCE.COM]
Karen Roach/Shutterstock When singles are looking for love, they typically don't start by checking out a potential mate's credit score. But maybe they should. A recent survey of 1,010 married people by Experian (EXPGY) Consumer Services division found that 95 percent of those polled rate financial responsibility as an important attribute in a spouse. Compare that to physical attractiveness -- often the first criterion we use to judge potential mates -- which was deemed an important trait for compatibility by just 86 percent. (Personal compatibility led the list at 98 percent.) Financial communication can be an important barometer of how successful a relationship will be, although women place more of a premium on it than men. Among those surveyed, 73 percent of women and 60 percent of men said that being open about personal finances and credit makes a person more attractive as a spouse. On the flip side, 59 percent of women and 44 percent of men say that a partner who avoids talking about those things is less attractive as a spouse. What's Your Number? "Financial debt and a person's credit score are so important to disclose before you tie the proverbial knot," says Les Parrott, co-author with his wife, Leslie, of "Making Happy" and "The Good Fight." "We can tell you about lots of disastrous money surprises when a person isn't up front about this." It's important to discuss all aspects of your individual and shared financial situations regularly with your significant other, but because your credit score will impact your ability to make major purchases like a home or a car, it's especially important to determine whether a low credit score tied to one or both of you may affect your long-term goals, says Suzanna de Baca, vice president of wealth strategies at Ameriprise Financial (AMP). "An important step toward having a successful relationship is being willing to share your feelings about money with your partner. This includes being honest about past and p
- [By WWW.DAILYFINANCE.COM]
Jupiterimages.com When it comes to understanding your credit, it can feel as complicated as trying to solve a Rubik's cube. Frustrated by this confusion, many consumers neglect their credit, which can have a devastating impact on their financial futures. A Consumer Action study recently revealed that 27 percent of Americans have never checked their credit report. That's alarming, because it's estimated that a large numbers of consumers have errors on their credit reports that could damage their credit. I found this out several years ago when I found an error -- a canceled account that was being reported as delinquent -- hurting my credit. In my research, I have identified three sneaky things that are hurting other people's credit, too. Surprisingly, they could be fixed in 15 minutes or less. First, you need to get your credit report, and you should go to AnnualCreditReport.com. From this site, you can request your free credit report once a year from the three major credit reporting agencies -- (Equifax (EFX), Experian (EXPGY) and TransUnion). You can also access your credit score there, but you'll have to pay a small fee. To get a free credit score, you can go to Credit.com or Creditkarma.com. Keep in mind that these two as well as a lot of other free sites offer a consumer education score, which isn't your actual FICO (FICO) score. This confused even me when I sought to find my real credit score. Your FICO score changes daily, so getting your credit scores from these free sites will give you a good gauge of approximately what your credit score is. 1. Wrong Information The wrong personal information on your credit report could hurt your credit. This could be things like your name, your home address, where you've worked in the past or even your Social Security number. How does a wrong address hurt your credit? Your information may be mixed up with someone else's, especially if you have a common name, or are a "Jr." or "Sr." Or it could indicate identity th
Top Industrial Disributor Stocks To Watch For 2014: Powershares Dynamic Networking Portfolio (PXQ)
PowerShares Dynamic Networking Portfolio (the Fund) seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield of an equity index called the Dynamic Networking Intellidex Index (the Networking Intellidex). The Networking Intellidex consists of stocks of 30 United States networking companies. These are companies that are principally engaged in the development, manufacture, sale or distribution of products, services or technologies that support the flow of electronic information, including voice, data, images and commercial transactions. These companies may include providers of telecommunications and networking equipment, data storage, systems software, Internet hardware, including servers, routers, switches and related equipment, systems for data encryption and security, Internet services, including hosting and commercial exchanges, fiber optics, satellites, cable equipment, and other companies involved in supporting the flow of information. Stocks are selected principally on the basis of their capital appreciation potential as identified by the AMEX (the Intellidex Provider) pursuant to its Intellidex methodology. The Fund�� investment advisor is PowerShares Capital Management LLC.
The Fund will normally invest at least 80% of its total assets in common stocks of networking companies. The Fund will normally invest at least 90% of its total assets in common stocks that comprise the Networking Intellidex. The Networking Intellidex is adjusted quarterly, and the Fund, using an indexing investment approach, attempts to replicate the performance of the Networking Intellidex. The Fund generally will invest in all of the stocks comprising the Networking Intellidex in proportion to their weightings in the Networking Intellidex.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By John Udovich]
Just before Thanksgiving, small cap networking stock Infoblox Inc (NYSE: BLOX) sank 28.65% on guidance that was below expectations, but the stock has still outperformed the year-to-date�performance of�networking ETF like the PowerShares Dynamic Networking ETF (NYSEARCA: PXQ) and iShares S&P North American Networking ETF (NYSEARCA: IGN). So what went wrong and could investors have just overeacted?
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